MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMIAMiami Marlins46%
ATLAtlanta Braves54%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterRyan GustoProbable
Model pickATL moneyline54%Model 20260803_auto
ATLHome starterGrant HolmesProbable
MIA46%ML +125
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
ATL54%ML -150
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Ryan GustoMIA starter / away
Projected K3.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%
O 2.562%
O 3.540%
O 4.523%
O 5.511%
O 6.55%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Grant HolmesATL starter / home
Projected K4.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.561%
O 4.542%
O 5.526%
O 6.515%
O 7.57%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+125 / -150MIA / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+136)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -120 / U -1
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total