MLB / mlb / live
WSN 3 / ATL 8WSNWashington Nationals45%
ATLAtlanta Braves55%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterMiles MikolasConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
ATLHome starterMartín PérezConfirmed
WSN45%ML +141
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
ATL55%ML -170
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.3
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Miles MikolasWSN starter / away
Projected K3.5Actual 3 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +106 betonlineag / U -120 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 2.566%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.545%under
O 4.527%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Martín PérezATL starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +114 fanduel / U -140 fanduel2 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%over
O 4.541%over
O 5.525%over
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+141 / -170WSN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+118)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total