MLB / mlb / live
WSN 2 / ATL 4WSNWashington Nationals50%
ATLAtlanta Braves50%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterCade CavalliConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline50%Model 20260727_auto
ATLHome starterJR RitchieConfirmed
WSN50%ML +110
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
ATL50%ML -130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cade CavalliWSN starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 fanatics / U -152 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
JR RitchieATL starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -152 fanduel / U +124 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -130WSN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -103 / U -118
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total