MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals34%
ATLAtlanta Braves66%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterFoster GriffinProbable
Model pickATL moneyline66%Model 20260727_auto
ATLHome starterBryce ElderProbable
WSN34%ML +108
Base model probability66%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
ATL66%ML -129
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Foster GriffinWSN starter / away
Projected K5.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.578%
O 4.562%
O 5.545%
O 6.531%
O 7.519%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Bryce ElderATL starter / home
Projected K4.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.561%
O 4.543%
O 5.527%
O 6.515%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+108 / -129WSN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total