MLB / mlb / live
SDP 5 / ATL 6SDPSan Diego Padres46%
ATLAtlanta Braves54%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterKyle HartConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline54%Model 20260720_auto
ATLHome starterChris SaleConfirmed
SDP46%ML +214
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ATL54%ML -263
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle HartSDP starter / away
Projected K2.7Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.575%under
O 2.551%under
O 3.529%under
O 4.514%under
O 5.56%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Chris SaleATL starter / home
Projected K6.6Actual 11 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +121 draftkings / U -148 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 7.535%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.564%over
O 6.549%over
O 7.535%over
O 8.523%over
O 9.514%over
O 10.58%over
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 11 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+214 / -263SDP / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-122)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total