MLB / mlb / live
SDP 8 / ATL 3SDPSan Diego Padres45%
ATLAtlanta Braves55%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterWalker BuehlerConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
ATLHome starterReynaldo LópezConfirmed
SDP45%ML +125
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
ATL55%ML -148
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Walker BuehlerSDP starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -140 betmgm / U +130 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.558%under
O 4.539%under
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Reynaldo LópezATL starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +120 betrivers / U -143 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.559%over
O 4.540%over
O 5.525%over
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -148SDP / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total