MLB / mlb / live
TEX 5 / ATL 8TEXTexas Rangers54%
ATLAtlanta Braves46%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterNathan EovaldiConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline54%Model 20260713_auto
ATLHome starterGrant HolmesConfirmed
TEX54%ML -116
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ATL46%ML +100
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Nathan EovaldiTEX starter / away
Projected K6.2Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -148 betrivers / U +118 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%under
O 3.585%under
O 4.572%under
O 5.557%under
O 6.542%under
O 7.528%under
O 8.518%under
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Grant HolmesATL starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -115 bovada / U +101 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%under
O 3.566%under
O 4.547%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-116 / +100TEX / ATL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -121 / U +100
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total