MLB / mlb / live
TEX 7 / ATL 6TEXTexas Rangers45%
ATLAtlanta Braves55%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline55%Model 20260713_auto
ATLHome starterOwen MurphyConfirmed
TEX45%ML 0
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
ATL55%ML -118
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.7
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +106 fanduel / U -133 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%over
O 5.540%over
O 6.526%over
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Owen MurphyATL starter / homeThin data
Projected K3.6Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%under
O 3.548%under
O 4.530%under
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus0 / -118TEX / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total