MLB / mlb / live
WSN 4 / ATL 5WSNWashington Nationals42%
ATLAtlanta Braves58%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterRichard Lovelady
Model pickATL moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
ATLHome starterBryce Elder
WSN42%ML +160
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
ATL58%ML -195
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+160 / -195WSN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+106)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -111 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total