MLB / mlb / live
PHI 2 / ATL 6PHIPhiladelphia Phillies40%
ATLAtlanta Braves60%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAaron Nola
Model pickATL moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
ATLHome starterChris Sale
PHI40%ML +150
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
ATL60%ML -180
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+150 / -180PHI / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -108 / U -119
30 books28 ML23 run line20 total