MLB / mlb / live
MIA 3 / ATL 6MIAMiami Marlins40%
ATLAtlanta Braves60%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterChris Paddack
Model pickATL moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
ATLHome starterBryce Elder
MIA40%ML +142
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
ATL60%ML -170
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total8.7
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+142 / -170MIA / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+124)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total