MLB / mlb / live
scheduledHOUHouston Astros55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterHunter BrownProbable
Model pickHOU moneyline55%Model 20260921_auto
OAKHome starterJacob LopezProbable
HOU55%ML -180
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
OAK45%ML +150
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.7
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Hunter BrownHOU starter / away
Projected K5.9
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.592%
O 3.583%
O 4.569%
O 5.553%
O 6.538%
O 7.525%
O 8.515%
O 9.59%
O 10.55%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jacob LopezOAK starter / home
Projected K5.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.589%
O 3.576%
O 4.560%
O 5.543%
O 6.529%
O 7.517%
O 8.510%
O 9.55%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-180 / +150HOU / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total