MLB / mlb / live
BAL 4 / OAK 3BALBaltimore Orioles49%
OAKOakland Athletics51%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterBrandon YoungConfirmed
Model pickOAK moneyline51%Model 20260824_auto
OAKHome starterJacob LopezConfirmed
BAL49%ML -113
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
OAK51%ML -105
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.4
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Brandon YoungBAL starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +112 fanduel / U -132 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Jacob LopezOAK starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +112 fanduel / U -138 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 6.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.549%over
O 6.534%under
O 7.522%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-113 / -105BAL / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -119
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total