MLB / mlb / live
BAL 5 / OAK 3BALBaltimore Orioles59%
OAKOakland Athletics41%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterShane BazProbable
Model pickBAL moneyline59%Model 20260824_auto
OAKHome starterJack PerkinsProbable
BAL59%ML -145
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
OAK41%ML +124
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.5
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Shane BazBAL starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 bovada / U -152 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.535%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.552%under
O 5.535%under
O 6.522%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Jack PerkinsOAK starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -125 fanduel / U +110 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 5.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-145 / +124BAL / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -108 / U -112
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total