MLB / mlb / live
TEX 3 / OAK 8TEXTexas Rangers55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterKumar RockerProbable
Model pickTEX moneyline55%Model 20260810_auto
OAKHome starterGage JumpProbable
TEX55%ML -112
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
OAK45%ML -104
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kumar RockerTEX starter / away
Projected K4.4Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +128 draftkings / U -145 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Gage JumpOAK starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 1 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +120 betrivers / U -135 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 6.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%under
O 2.592%under
O 3.582%under
O 4.567%under
O 5.551%under
O 6.536%under
O 7.524%under
O 8.514%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-112 / -104TEX / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -108 / U -114
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total