MLB / mlb / live
BOS 4 / OAK 2BOSBoston Red Sox55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterPatrick SandovalConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterJacob LopezConfirmed
BOS55%ML -152
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
OAK45%ML +128
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.7
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -107 betrivers / U -104 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%over
O 4.541%over
O 5.525%over
O 6.514%over
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Jacob LopezOAK starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 8 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 betrivers / U -121 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.570%over
O 3.549%over
O 4.531%over
O 5.517%over
O 6.58%over
O 7.54%over
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-152 / +128BOS / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total