MLB / mlb / live
scheduledBOSBoston Red Sox51%
OAKOakland Athletics49%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterSonny GrayProbable
Model pickBOS moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterMason BarnettProbable
BOS51%ML -180
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
OAK49%ML +150
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Sonny GrayBOS starter / away
Projected K4.8
Best price at 4.54.5O -115 betmgm / U +102 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.522%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Mason BarnettOAK starter / home
Projected K3.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%
O 2.568%
O 3.547%
O 4.528%
O 5.515%
O 6.57%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-180 / +150BOS / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -113 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total