MLB / mlb / live
DET 13 / OAK 1DETDetroit Tigers51%
OAKOakland Athletics49%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterTyler HoltonConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
DET51%ML -145
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
OAK49%ML +122
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tyler HoltonDET starter / away
Projected K2.2Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.564%under
O 2.537%under
O 3.518%under
O 4.57%under
O 5.53%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Jeffrey SpringsOAK starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +126 fanduel / U -142 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%under
O 3.557%under
O 4.538%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-145 / +122DET / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-123)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total