MLB / mlb / live
scheduledDETDetroit Tigers55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterCasey MizeProbable
Model pickDET moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterJeffrey SpringsProbable
DET55%ML -159
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
OAK45%ML +130
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.7
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Casey MizeDET starter / away
Projected K4.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.571%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-159 / +130DET / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-118)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -120 / U +100
28 books26 ML21 run line18 total