MLB / mlb / live
scheduledBOSBoston Red Sox45%
OAKOakland Athletics55%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterJake BennettProbable
Model pickOAK moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterGage JumpProbable
BOS45%ML -150
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability43%Selected moneyline pick
OAK55%ML +125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total10.0
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Jake BennettBOS starter / away
Projected K4.0
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Gage JumpOAK starter / home
Projected K5.1
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.587%
O 3.573%
O 4.556%
O 5.539%
O 6.525%
O 7.515%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-150 / +125BOS / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total