MLB / mlb / live
WSN 23 / OAK 4WSNWashington Nationals55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterCade CavalliConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline55%Model 20260713_auto
OAKHome starterGage JumpConfirmed
WSN55%ML -134
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
OAK45%ML +112
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.6
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cade CavalliWSN starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 betmgm / U +116 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.552%over
O 5.535%over
O 6.522%over
O 7.512%over
O 8.56%over
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Gage JumpOAK starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 fanduel / U -148 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.538%over
O 6.524%over
O 7.514%over
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-134 / +112WSN / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total