MLB / mlb / live
COL 3 / ARI 2COLColorado Rockies44%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks56%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline56%Model 20260810_auto
ARIHome starterMitch BrattConfirmed
COL44%ML +148
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
ARI56%ML -176
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tomoyuki SuganoCOL starter / away
Projected K3.2Actual 5 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -130 fanatics / U +116 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 2.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.583%over
O 2.562%over
O 3.540%over
O 4.523%over
O 5.512%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Mitch BrattARI starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -108 draftkings / U +100 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+148 / -176COL / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -104
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total