MLB / mlb / live
COL 6 / ARI 4COLColorado Rockies46%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks54%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline54%Model 20260810_auto
ARIHome starterMerrill KellyConfirmed
COL46%ML +155
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ARI54%ML -180
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan FeltnerCOL starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +128 fanduel / U -159 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 3.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%under
O 3.549%under
O 4.530%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Merrill KellyARI starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -132 fanduel / U +125 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%under
O 3.564%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+155 / -180COL / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+112)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -116 / U -104
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total