MLB / mlb / live
COL 0 / ARI 9COLColorado Rockies43%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks57%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterGabriel HughesConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline57%Model 20260810_auto
ARIHome starterMichael SorokaConfirmed
COL43%ML +180
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
ARI57%ML -213
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Gabriel HughesCOL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -125 betrivers / U +116 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%under
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Michael SorokaARI starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +110 bovada / U -136 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+180 / -213COL / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -104
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total