MLB / mlb / live
LAD 2 / ARI 4LADLos Angeles Dodgers58%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks42%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterJustin WrobleskiConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline58%Model 20260803_auto
ARIHome starterEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
LAD58%ML -139
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
ARI42%ML +119
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Justin WrobleskiLAD starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 bovada / U -165 betrivers4 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.565%under
O 4.547%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Eduardo RodriguezARI starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 9 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -132 betrivers / U +114 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.523%over
O 6.512%over
O 7.56%over
O 8.53%over
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-139 / +119LAD / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-137)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total