MLB / mlb / live
OAK 5 / ARI 15OAKOakland Athletics42%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks58%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterGage JumpConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline58%Model 20260720_auto
ARIHome starterMerrill KellyConfirmed
OAK42%ML +118
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
ARI58%ML -140
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Gage JumpOAK starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +105 fanatics / U -121 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%over
O 4.546%over
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Merrill KellyARI starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +132 fanduel / U -167 betrivers3 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+118 / -140OAK / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+147)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total