MLB / mlb / live
OAK 5 / ARI 6OAKOakland Athletics42%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks58%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJack PerkinsConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline58%Model 20260720_auto
ARIHome starterKohl DrakeConfirmed
OAK42%ML +115
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
ARI58%ML -137
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jack PerkinsOAK starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +105 bovada / U -122 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Kohl DrakeARI starter / homeThin data
Projected K3.5Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -130 betonlineag / U +112 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 3.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%over
O 2.567%over
O 3.546%over
O 4.528%over
O 5.515%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+115 / -137OAK / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -103 / U -118
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total