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STL 7 / ARI 8
STLSt. Louis Cardinals46%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks54%

at Chase Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
STLAway starterAndre PallanteConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline54%Model 20260713_auto
ARIHome starterEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
STL46%ML +105
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ARI54%ML -125

Projection Context

Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Andre PallanteSTL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +122 fanduel / U -140 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%under
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.

Eduardo RodriguezARI starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -143 betonlineag / U +125 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%under
O 4.538%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+105 / -125STL / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total