MLB / mlb / live
MIN 16 / ARI 8MINMinnesota Twins48%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks52%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterTaj BradleyProbable
Model pickARI moneyline52%Model 20260616_auto
ARIHome starterZac GallenProbable
MIN48%ML +100
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
ARI52%ML -120
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.9
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Taj BradleyMIN starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 fanatics / U +122 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 4.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.569%over
O 4.551%under
O 5.534%under
O 6.521%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Zac GallenARI starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -150 fanatics / U +134 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 3.561%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%under
O 3.561%under
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+100 / -120MIN / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total