MLB / mlb / live
SFG 3 / ARI 6SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks54%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterTyler Mahle
Model pickARI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterMerrill Kelly
SFG46%ML -107
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ARI54%ML -111
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-107 / -111SFG / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-157)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -113 / U -106
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total