MLB / mlb / live
SFG 3 / ARI 6SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks54%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterTyler Mahle
Model pickARI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterMerrill Kelly
SFG46%ML -107
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
ARI54%ML -111
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-107 / -111SFG / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-157)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -113 / U -106
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total