MLB / mlb / live
NYM 1 / ARI 5NYMNew York Mets42%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks58%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterHuascar Brazobán
Model pickARI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterEduardo Rodriguez
NYM42%ML -105
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
ARI58%ML -111
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-105 / -111NYM / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total