MLB / mlb / live
PIT 4 / ARI 2PITPittsburgh Pirates55%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks45%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterMitch Keller
Model pickPIT moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterZac Gallen
PIT55%ML -110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
ARI45%ML -110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -110PIT / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-168)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -111 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total