MLB / mlb / live
PIT 4 / ARI 2PITPittsburgh Pirates55%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks45%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterMitch Keller
Model pickPIT moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterZac Gallen
PIT55%ML -110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
ARI45%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -110PIT / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-168)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -111 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total