MLB / mlb / live
CHW 11 / ARI 5CHWChicago White Sox42%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks58%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterSean Burke
Model pickARI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterMerrill Kelly
CHW42%ML +132
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
ARI58%ML -156
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+132 / -156CHW / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+126)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -111 / U -110
30 books28 ML24 run line21 total