MLB / mlb / live
TOR 10 / ARI 4TORToronto Blue Jays55%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks45%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterKevin Gausman
Model pickTOR moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterRyne Nelson
TOR55%ML -110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
ARI45%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -108TOR / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-178)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total