MLB / mlb / live
MIL 6 / LAD 4MILMilwaukee Brewers46%
LADLos Angeles Dodgers54%
at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterShane DrohanProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline54%Model 20260928_auto
LADHome starterTyler GlasnowProbable
MIL46%ML +130
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
LAD54%ML -152
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rankUnranked
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time3.9 pts
Model (54.4%) sits below market's 58.3% on LAD, so no comparison on the favorite; Glasnow's 11.92 K/9 and 0.95 WHIP in 74 IP support the home side. MIL's listed 0.972 OPS against 4.4 RPG is internally inconsistent, and the away starter is a fallback profile (1.80 ERA over 174.7 IP across 10 'starts'), so the total is unusable. Lean LAD, no total view.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+130 / -152MIL / LAD moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML25 run line23 total