MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHCChicago Cubs48%
SDPSan Diego Padres52%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterKevin GausmanProbable
Model pickSDP moneyline52%Model 20260928_auto
SDPHome starterNick PivettaProbable
CHC48%ML +121
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
SDP52%ML -145
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+121 / -145CHC / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -120
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total