SOCCER / premier league / live
AV 2 / MC 1AVAston Villa FC13%
DRAWDraw18%
MCManchester City FC69%
Live 1X2 Prediction
Updated
AwayAston Villa13%xG 0.86Draw18%Odds +420
HomeMan City69%xG 2.26Model pickMan City win
Pick probability69%
Modelv2.5
1X2 Probability Split
Expected Goals
Aston Villa0.86
Projected total3.13
Man City2.26
1X2 Odds Context Closing odds
Aston Villa+619
Draw+420
Man City-238
Source pinnacle odds. Edge and EV remain held until odds alignment is audited.