SOCCER / premier league / live
MC 1 / AV 2MCManchester City FC53%
DRAWDraw23%
AVAston Villa FC24%
Live 1X2 Prediction
Updated
AwayMan City53%xG 1.80Draw23%Odds +360
HomeAston Villa24%xG 1.15Model pickMan City win
Pick probability53%
Modelv2.5
1X2 Probability Split
Expected Goals
Man City1.80
Projected total2.94
Aston Villa1.15
1X2 Odds Context Closing odds
Man City-161
Draw+360
Aston Villa+405
Source pinnacle odds. Edge and EV remain held until odds alignment is audited.