Model (62.7%) and market (64.2%) agree on Texas; no reason to fight that. Tidwell's 3.00 ERA over 12 IP in 2 starts is not predictive, so the model...

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:05 PM MDT

Open

STLSt. Louis Cardinals+145

NYYNew York Yankees-175

Pick Probability60%NYY moneyline

STLHunter DobbinsProbable

NYYRyan WeathersProbable

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

PITPittsburgh Pirates+139

MILMilwaukee Brewers-163

Pick Probability58%MIL moneyline

PITJared JonesProbable

MILLogan HendersonProbable

MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 6:40 PM MDT

Open

TBRTampa Bay Rays-150

COLColorado Rockies+125

Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline

TBRFreddy PeraltaProbable

COLGabriel HughesProbable

TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (57.6% TBR) and market (~58% away after vig) agree, so no real comparison on the side; TBR's 66-46 record and .802 OPS back it. On the total,...

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

WSNWashington Nationals+226

PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-278

Pick Probability57%PHI moneyline

WSNZack LittellProbable

PHIJesús LuzardoProbable

PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:35 PM MDT

Open

LAALos Angeles Angels+130

BALBaltimore Orioles-154

Pick Probability56%BAL moneyline

LAAGrayson RodriguezProbable

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

DETDetroit Tigers+120

SEASeattle Mariners-142

Pick Probability55%SEA moneyline

DETStarter TBD

SEAEmerson HancockProbable

SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

NYMNew York Mets+130

CLECleveland Guardians-155

Pick Probability54%CLE moneyline

NYMSean ManaeaProbable

CLEJoey CantilloProbable

CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:15 PM MDT

Open

MIAMiami Marlins+125

ATLAtlanta Braves-150

Pick Probability54%ATL moneyline

MIARyan GustoProbable

ATLGrant HolmesProbable

ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

SDPSan Diego Padres+112

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-133

Pick Probability54%ARI moneyline

SDPRandy VásquezProbable

ARIEduardo RodriguezProbable

ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

OAKOakland Athletics+113

CINCincinnati Reds-136

Pick Probability53%CIN moneyline

OAKJ.T. GinnProbable

CINBrady SingerProbable

CIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:10 PM MDT

Open

CHWChicago White Sox+110

BOSBoston Red Sox-130

Pick Probability53%BOS moneyline

CHWDavis MartinProbable

BOSPatrick SandovalProbable

BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

MINMinnesota Twins-143

KCRKansas City Royals+120

Pick Probability52%MIN moneyline

MINJoe RyanProbable

KCRRandy DobnakProbable

MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 6:05 PM MDT

Open

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-212

CHCChicago Cubs+178

Pick Probability52%LAD moneyline

LADTarik SkubalProbable

CHCJavier AssadProbable

LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 6:10 PM MDT

Open

TORToronto Blue Jays+110

HOUHouston Astros-132

Pick Probability52%TOR moneyline

TORTrey YesavageProbable

HOUHayden WesneskiProbable

HOU / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes TOR despite the worse record (53-60) and 3.7 RPG, triggering the offense/defense mismatch flag; market has HOU at 54.6%. Yesavage (3.73...