MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-18 / 8 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-18
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+113
SEASeattle Mariners-134
Pick Probability57%SEA moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
SEABryan WooConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model at 57.0% vs market 57.0% on SEA is dead-on convergence. T-Mobile Park factor 0.855 is extreme pitcher-friendly, model total 8.94 runs vs mark...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+140
NYYNew York Yankees-168
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
CHWBryan HudsonConfirmed
NYYRyan WeathersConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHW / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has NYY 56.9%, market has 59.2%. CHW has better OPS (.729 vs .692) despite worse record and RPG. Yankee Stadium park factor 0.93 argues under...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+158
OAKOakland Athletics-190
Pick Probability57%OAK moneyline
LAARyan JohnsonProbable
OAKGage JumpConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+118
BOSBoston Red Sox-140
Pick Probability55%TOR moneyline
TORTrey YesavageConfirmed
BOSSonny GrayConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors TOR 54.5% but market has BOS at 53.3% — a narrow 1.2pp gap. Gray's 3.03 ERA in 62.1 IP is legitimate; Yesavage's 3.78 in 47.2 IP is so...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-125
TEXTexas Rangers+105
Pick Probability55%MIN moneyline
MINJoe RyanConfirmed
TEXJack LeiterConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIN / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model projects 9.12 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.6-run gap. Ryan's 3.17 ERA and 1.0 WHIP are legitimate; Leiter's 4.86 ERA in 76 IP says model is overra...

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-18
Rank#1
BAL at SEABaltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Agrees with modelSEA / 57%Model pick probability

Model at 57.0% vs market 57.0% on SEA is dead-on convergence. T-Mobile Park factor 0.855 is extreme pitcher-friendly, model total 8.94 runs vs market 7.5 is a massive...

Rank#2
MIN at TEXMinnesota Twins at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickMINlean confidence
Agrees with modelMIN / 55%Model pick probability

Model projects 9.12 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.6-run gap. Ryan's 3.17 ERA and 1.0 WHIP are legitimate; Leiter's 4.86 ERA in 76 IP says model is overrating TEX offense. Ma...

Rank#3
CHW at NYYChicago White Sox at New York Yankees
AI Analyst PickCHWlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelNYY / 57%Model pick probability

Model has NYY 56.9%, market has 59.2%. CHW has better OPS (.729 vs .692) despite worse record and RPG. Yankee Stadium park factor 0.93 argues under; model's 8.74 vs ma...

Rank#4
STL at KCRSt. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals
AI Analyst PickSTLlean confidence
Agrees with modelSTL / 55%Model pick probability

Model has STL at 54.5% while market is nearly even (48.1% STL implied). Both starters mid-4s ERA, park slightly hitter-friendly. Model margin of -0.75 suggests tight g...

Rank#5
NYM at PHINew York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analyst PickNYMlean confidence
Agrees with modelNYM / 51%Model pick probability

Model has NYM at 51.5%, market at 47.8% - essentially a coin flip. PHI has better record but worse OPS (0.57 vs 0.736), explaining the mismatch flag. Both starters str...

Rank#6
TOR at BOSToronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
AI Analyst PickBOSlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelTOR / 55%Model pick probability

Model favors TOR 54.5% but market has BOS at 53.3% — a narrow 1.2pp gap. Gray's 3.03 ERA in 62.1 IP is legitimate; Yesavage's 3.78 in 47.2 IP is solid but less establi...

Rank#7
CLE at MILCleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers
AI Analyst PickMILlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCLE / 51%Model pick probability

Model picks CLE 51.5% but market heavily favors MIL (58.2% implied). MIL's 7.1 RPG vs CLE's 3.0 RPG is a 4.1-run gap — offense_defense_mismatch flag fires because mode...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

8 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+113
SEASeattle Mariners-134
Pick Probability57%SEA moneyline
BALShane BazConfirmed
SEABryan WooConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model at 57.0% vs market 57.0% on SEA is dead-on convergence. T-Mobile Park factor 0.855 is extreme pitcher-friendly, model total 8.94 runs vs mark...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+140
NYYNew York Yankees-168
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
CHWBryan HudsonConfirmed
NYYRyan WeathersConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
CHW / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has NYY 56.9%, market has 59.2%. CHW has better OPS (.729 vs .692) despite worse record and RPG. Yankee Stadium park factor 0.93 argues under...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+158
OAKOakland Athletics-190
Pick Probability57%OAK moneyline
LAARyan JohnsonProbable
OAKGage JumpConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
OAK moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+118
BOSBoston Red Sox-140
Pick Probability55%TOR moneyline
TORTrey YesavageConfirmed
BOSSonny GrayConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors TOR 54.5% but market has BOS at 53.3% — a narrow 1.2pp gap. Gray's 3.03 ERA in 62.1 IP is legitimate; Yesavage's 3.78 in 47.2 IP is so...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-125
TEXTexas Rangers+105
Pick Probability55%MIN moneyline
MINJoe RyanConfirmed
TEXJack LeiterConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
MIN / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model projects 9.12 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.6-run gap. Ryan's 3.17 ERA and 1.0 WHIP are legitimate; Leiter's 4.86 ERA in 76 IP says model is overra...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-105
KCRKansas City Royals-114
Pick Probability55%STL moneyline
STLMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
KCRNoah CameronConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
STL / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model has STL at 54.5% while market is nearly even (48.1% STL implied). Both starters mid-4s ERA, park slightly hitter-friendly. Model margin of -0...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+122
MILMilwaukee Brewers-146
Pick Probability51%CLE moneyline
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
MILShane DrohanConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
MIL / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks CLE 51.5% but market heavily favors MIL (58.2% implied). MIL's 7.1 RPG vs CLE's 3.0 RPG is a 4.1-run gap — offense_defense_mismatch fla...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+104
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-124
Pick Probability51%NYM moneyline
NYMSean ManaeaConfirmed
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model has NYM at 51.5%, market at 47.8% - essentially a coin flip. PHI has better record but worse OPS (0.57 vs 0.736), explaining the mismatch fla...

sharps.gg