MLB moneyline board.

ATL is the right side: 93-65 with .789 OPS and 4.8 RPG against a Cincinnati offense at 2.8 RPG and .629 OPS, with Singer carrying a 5.67 ERA and 1.56 WHIP versus Mahle...

Side agrees with market and model: Rodriguez (2.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP over 183.2 IP) is a clear comparison over Gordon (6.01 ERA, 1.55 WHIP), and ARI's 84-74 record and 4....

Market (65.7%) is more bullish on Seattle than the model (59.2%), and the pitching comparison supports the market: Woo at 3.92 ERA/1.08 WHIP over 167.7 IP versus Rodri...

Model's 54.5% on OAK vs market's 40.3% is a 14-point gap I can't justify: Barnett carries a 7.16 ERA and 1.75 WHIP over 44 IP against Lambert's 3.70/1.23 in 151 IP, an...

Suarez (143.1 IP, 3.27 ERA, 1.20 WHIP) is far more established than Espino, who has just 2 starts and 13.1 IP with a 1.43 WHIP despite 14.85 K/9. Model at 56.7% is clo...

Market prices CHC at 65.3% while the model says 56.7%; -200 looks steep with Miami carrying the better offense (.774 OPS vs .694) and the better starter (Phillips 3.45...

Essentially a coin flip: model has MIL at 50.4%, market implies 53.4% PHI. Milwaukee's 99-59 record and 4.8 RPG outclass Philadelphia's offense, and Painter's 5.59 ERA...

Model picks KCR despite a 13-game worse record and 4.0 RPG vs CHW's 5.7 with .729 OPS — the mismatch flag is a red flag. Dobnak's 3.08 ERA over 73 IP with 5.92 K/9 is...

Model has NYM at 56.9% vs market's 45.9% implied — an 11-point gap on a team that is 73-85 and scoring just 3.8 runs per game despite a .736 OPS. Thornton's 3.40 ERA a...