Model-projected strikeout and hits-allowed counts with over probabilities for every confirmed probable starter, shown against the latest pregame market line. These are forecasts for context, not betting picks. More prop markets and sports will join this board as their models come online.
Best price at 3.53.5O -165 draftkings / U +140 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.575%
O 3.556%
O 4.537%
O 5.522%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Gavin WilliamsCLE starter / home
Projected K7.1
Best price at 6.56.5O -132 betrivers / U +116 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 6.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.597%
O 3.591%
O 4.582%
O 5.570%
O 6.556%
O 7.542%
O 8.529%
O 9.519%
O 10.512%
O 11.57%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Strikeout forecasts are model projections for confirmed probable starters, not betting picks. In our own evaluation the market closing line has been the sharper forecaster. Market lines and odds are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Best price compares books only at the consensus line. A scratched or replaced starter voids the forecast for that pitcher. Completed games show the actual strikeouts next to each forecast for calibration — these were context, never graded picks.