MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-05-28 / 6 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-28
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+122
TEXTexas Rangers-145
Pick Probability63%TEX moneyline
HOUSpencer Arrighetti
TEXNathan Eovaldi
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
TEX / pass confidence / Rank 5

Model has TEX at 63% vs. market 56%, but Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA in just 4.2 IP this season is unusable signal—likely injured or returning. Arrighetti h...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+144
CHWChicago White Sox-175
Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline
MINSimeon Woods Richardson
CHWDavis Martin
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
CHW / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has CHW at 60.2%, market at 57.6% — mild agreement. Rojas has only 1 start this season, making away pitching unreliable. CHW offense (5.4 RPG...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+145
PITPittsburgh Pirates-172
Pick Probability56%CHC moneyline
CHCColin Rea
PITPaul Skenes
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 6

Skenes shows 0.2 IP with 67.50 ERA—clearly incomplete data despite 'full' tag. Rea has null for all season stats. Without reliable pitcher metrics,...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+109
BALBaltimore Orioles-129
Pick Probability55%TOR moneyline
TORPatrick Corbin
BALChris Bassitt
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks TOR at 55.2% but market has BAL at 54.1% - disagreement flag fires. BAL's 5.6 RPG vs TOR's 3.8 RPG suggests offensive mismatch favors h...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-133
BOSBoston Red Sox+114
Pick Probability53%ATL moneyline
ATLChris Sale
BOSPayton Tolle
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has ATL at 53% vs market 57%; slight comparison to BOS. Sale's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is a small-sample mirage but he's pitching well. Tolle's mi...

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-05-28

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

6 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+122
TEXTexas Rangers-145
Pick Probability63%TEX moneyline
HOUSpencer Arrighetti
TEXNathan Eovaldi
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
TEX / pass confidence / Rank 5

Model has TEX at 63% vs. market 56%, but Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA in just 4.2 IP this season is unusable signal—likely injured or returning. Arrighetti h...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+144
CHWChicago White Sox-175
Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline
MINSimeon Woods Richardson
CHWDavis Martin
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
CHW / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has CHW at 60.2%, market at 57.6% — mild agreement. Rojas has only 1 start this season, making away pitching unreliable. CHW offense (5.4 RPG...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+145
PITPittsburgh Pirates-172
Pick Probability56%CHC moneyline
CHCColin Rea
PITPaul Skenes
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
CHC / pass confidence / Rank 6

Skenes shows 0.2 IP with 67.50 ERA—clearly incomplete data despite 'full' tag. Rea has null for all season stats. Without reliable pitcher metrics,...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+109
BALBaltimore Orioles-129
Pick Probability55%TOR moneyline
TORPatrick Corbin
BALChris Bassitt
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks TOR at 55.2% but market has BAL at 54.1% - disagreement flag fires. BAL's 5.6 RPG vs TOR's 3.8 RPG suggests offensive mismatch favors h...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-133
BOSBoston Red Sox+114
Pick Probability53%ATL moneyline
ATLChris Sale
BOSPayton Tolle
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has ATL at 53% vs market 57%; slight comparison to BOS. Sale's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is a small-sample mirage but he's pitching well. Tolle's mi...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+112
DETDetroit Tigers-134
Pick Probability52%LAA moneyline
LAAGrayson Rodriguez
DETJack Flaherty
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
DET / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes LAA at 52.2% but market strongly favors DET at 55%. Rodriguez has no season stats (null ERA/IP/K9), making away starter evaluation impo...

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