MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-08-13 / 9 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-08-13
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-145
TORToronto Blue Jays+124
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (58.2% BOS) and market (-154) essentially agree, so no comparison argument needed to side with Boston. The starter gap is the story: Tolle at...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-105
MINMinnesota Twins-110
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
MIN / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes PHI at 58.2% against a pick'em market, but the underlying inputs point the other way: Nola carries a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP versus Brad...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+115
CHWChicago White Sox-136
Pick Probability56%CHW moneyline
CINAndrew AbbottConfirmed
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+138
NYYNew York Yankees-164
Pick Probability56%NYY moneyline
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
NYYMax FriedConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model (55.5%) and market (56.6%) essentially agree on NYY, so there's no side comparison worth pressing. The real disagreement is the total: model...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-116
DETDetroit Tigers+100
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
DETKeider MonteroConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (55.1%) and market (-117) both favor Cleveland, so the mismatch flag is less alarming: Messick's 2.57 ERA and 8.96 K/9 over 136.7 IP outclass...

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-08-13
Rank#1
PIT at MIAPittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins
AI Analyst PickMIAstandard confidence
Agrees with modelMIA / 53%Model pick probability

Market makes PIT a small favorite despite a 58-64 record and 2.8 RPG on a .710 OPS; MIA at 4.6 RPG and .774 OPS at home is the better offense and I side with the model...

Rank#2
CLE at DETCleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
AI Analyst PickCLEstandard confidence
Agrees with modelCLE / 55%Model pick probability

Model (55.1%) and market (-117) both favor Cleveland, so the mismatch flag is less alarming: Messick's 2.57 ERA and 8.96 K/9 over 136.7 IP outclass Montero's 3.38/6.33...

Rank#3
BOS at TORBoston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
AI Analyst PickBOSstandard confidence
Agrees with modelBOS / 58%Model pick probability

Model (58.2% BOS) and market (-154) essentially agree, so no comparison argument needed to side with Boston. The starter gap is the story: Tolle at 3.20 ERA and 10.43...

Rank#4
PHI at MINPhiladelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
AI Analyst PickMINstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelPHI / 58%Model pick probability

Model takes PHI at 58.2% against a pick'em market, but the underlying inputs point the other way: Nola carries a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP versus Bradley's 3.76 ERA and 1...

Rank#5
SEA at NYYSeattle Mariners at New York Yankees
AI Analyst PickNYYlean confidence
Agrees with modelNYY / 56%Model pick probability

Model (55.5%) and market (56.6%) essentially agree on NYY, so there's no side comparison worth pressing. The real disagreement is the total: model at 8.99 vs a 7.5 lin...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

9 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-145
TORToronto Blue Jays+124
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
TORMax ScherzerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (58.2% BOS) and market (-154) essentially agree, so no comparison argument needed to side with Boston. The starter gap is the story: Tolle at...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-105
MINMinnesota Twins-110
Pick Probability58%PHI moneyline
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
MINTaj BradleyConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
MIN / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes PHI at 58.2% against a pick'em market, but the underlying inputs point the other way: Nola carries a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP versus Brad...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+115
CHWChicago White Sox-136
Pick Probability56%CHW moneyline
CINAndrew AbbottConfirmed
CHWDavis MartinConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
CHW moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners+138
NYYNew York Yankees-164
Pick Probability56%NYY moneyline
SEALogan GilbertConfirmed
NYYMax FriedConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model (55.5%) and market (56.6%) essentially agree on NYY, so there's no side comparison worth pressing. The real disagreement is the total: model...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians-116
DETDetroit Tigers+100
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLEParker MessickConfirmed
DETKeider MonteroConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (55.1%) and market (-117) both favor Cleveland, so the mismatch flag is less alarming: Messick's 2.57 ERA and 8.96 K/9 over 136.7 IP outclass...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-150
WSNWashington Nationals+130
Pick Probability55%CHC moneyline
CHCKevin GausmanConfirmed
WSNCade CavalliConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.7
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers-148
LAALos Angeles Angels+125
Pick Probability55%TEX moneyline
TEXJacob deGromProbable
LAAWalbert UreƱaProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
TEX moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-126
MIAMiami Marlins+106
Pick Probability53%MIA moneyline
PITBraxton AshcraftConfirmed
MIATyler PhillipsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
MIA / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Market makes PIT a small favorite despite a 58-64 record and 2.8 RPG on a .710 OPS; MIA at 4.6 RPG and .774 OPS at home is the better offense and I...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers+124
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-145
Pick Probability53%LAD moneyline
MILShane DrohanProbable
LADRoki SasakiProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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