MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-06 / 15 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-06
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+125
CHWChicago White Sox-147
Pick Probability65%CHW moneyline
MINBailey OberConfirmed
CHWBryan HudsonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
CHW / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model at 64.9% vs market 57.4% is a modest gap; CHW's better record (74-68) and Hudson's 3.03 ERA/8.34 K9 over Ober's 4.37 ERA/6.27 K9 justify sidi...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+143
CLECleveland Guardians-170
Pick Probability63%CLE moneyline
DETJackson JobeConfirmed
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model 62.5% and market 60.5% on CLE are effectively aligned; Williams' 11.98 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP over 163 IP outclasses Jobe (4.63 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 23...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+166
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-200
Pick Probability63%LAD moneyline
WSNAndrew AlvarezProbable
LADJustin WrobleskiProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model (62.5%) and market (65.2%) essentially agree on LAD, so no comparison to exploit but the side is defensible. Both starters are solid — Wroble...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+150
PITPittsburgh Pirates-176
Pick Probability60%PIT moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
PITPaul SkenesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
PIT / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (60.4%) sits slightly under market's 63.7% on PIT, so no real comparison, but Skenes at 10.76 K/9 and 1.16 WHIP with home park is a defensibl...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+140
NYMNew York Mets-168
Pick Probability60%NYM moneyline
SFGCesar PerdomoConfirmed
NYMChristian ScottConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 9 / Agrees with model

Model 60.4% vs market 58.3% on NYM — essentially convergent, so no comparison to press. Perdomo has just 4.0 IP on record, so his 2.25 ERA carries...

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-06
Rank#1
NYY at SDPNew York Yankees at San Diego Padres
AI Analyst PickNYYstandard confidence
Agrees with modelNYY / 57%Model pick probability

Yankees are the better team on both sides: 81-61 with 4.8 RPG and .692 OPS versus San Diego's 3.2 RPG and .547 OPS. Market is near pick'em (+102/-110), so model's 56.8...

Rank#2
DET at CLEDetroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
AI Analyst PickCLEstandard confidence
Agrees with modelCLE / 63%Model pick probability

Model 62.5% and market 60.5% on CLE are effectively aligned; Williams' 11.98 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP over 163 IP outclasses Jobe (4.63 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 23.3 IP). The total is...

Rank#3
OAK at SEAOakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners
AI Analyst PickSEAstandard confidence
Agrees with modelSEA / 60%Model pick probability

Market implies 64% on SEA vs model 60.4%, so no disagreement on side. Woo's 1.09 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 over 148 IP outclasses Jump's 1.49 WHIP and 5.15 ERA. T-Mobile at 0.8...

Rank#4
LAA at PITLos Angeles Angels at Pittsburgh Pirates
AI Analyst PickPITstandard confidence
Agrees with modelPIT / 60%Model pick probability

Model (60.4%) sits slightly under market's 63.7% on PIT, so no real comparison, but Skenes at 10.76 K/9 and 1.16 WHIP with home park is a defensible side. Ureña's 2.85...

Rank#5
WSN at LADWashington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers
AI Analyst PickLADstandard confidence
Agrees with modelLAD / 63%Model pick probability

Model (62.5%) and market (65.2%) essentially agree on LAD, so no comparison to exploit but the side is defensible. Both starters are solid — Wrobleski 3.65 ERA/1.11 WH...

Rank#6
MIN at CHWMinnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox
AI Analyst PickCHWstandard confidence
Agrees with modelCHW / 65%Model pick probability

Model at 64.9% vs market 57.4% is a modest gap; CHW's better record (74-68) and Hudson's 3.03 ERA/8.34 K9 over Ober's 4.37 ERA/6.27 K9 justify siding home, but only at...

Rank#7
CHC at MIAChicago Cubs at Miami Marlins
AI Analyst PickCHCstandard confidence
Agrees with modelCHC / 55%Model pick probability

Model (55% CHC) and market (-140, ~57%) agree on direction, so no comparison to fight. Holmes at 2.09 ERA/1.07 WHIP over 81.7 IP is the better of two solid starters vs...

Rank#8
TOR at KCRToronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
AI Analyst PickTORstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelKCR / 50%Model pick probability

Model lands on KCR at 50.2% versus market 47.8%, but that pick fights both the record (72-71 vs 63-80) and the offense gap (TOR 5.5 RPG, .786 OPS vs KCR .518 OPS). Dob...

Rank#9
SFG at NYMSan Francisco Giants at New York Mets
AI Analyst PickNYMlean confidence
Agrees with modelNYM / 60%Model pick probability

Model 60.4% vs market 58.3% on NYM — essentially convergent, so no comparison to press. Perdomo has just 4.0 IP on record, so his 2.25 ERA carries no signal and SFG wi...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

15 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+125
CHWChicago White Sox-147
Pick Probability65%CHW moneyline
MINBailey OberConfirmed
CHWBryan HudsonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
CHW / standard confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model at 64.9% vs market 57.4% is a modest gap; CHW's better record (74-68) and Hudson's 3.03 ERA/8.34 K9 over Ober's 4.37 ERA/6.27 K9 justify sidi...

MLBMoneyline
Open
DETDetroit Tigers+143
CLECleveland Guardians-170
Pick Probability63%CLE moneyline
DETJackson JobeConfirmed
CLEGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context1.0
AI Analyst
CLE / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model 62.5% and market 60.5% on CLE are effectively aligned; Williams' 11.98 K/9 and 1.09 WHIP over 163 IP outclasses Jobe (4.63 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 23...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+166
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-200
Pick Probability63%LAD moneyline
WSNAndrew AlvarezProbable
LADJustin WrobleskiProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
LAD / standard confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model (62.5%) and market (65.2%) essentially agree on LAD, so no comparison to exploit but the side is defensible. Both starters are solid — Wroble...

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+150
PITPittsburgh Pirates-176
Pick Probability60%PIT moneyline
LAAWalbert UreñaConfirmed
PITPaul SkenesConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
PIT / standard confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (60.4%) sits slightly under market's 63.7% on PIT, so no real comparison, but Skenes at 10.76 K/9 and 1.16 WHIP with home park is a defensibl...

MLBMoneyline
Open
SFGSan Francisco Giants+140
NYMNew York Mets-168
Pick Probability60%NYM moneyline
SFGCesar PerdomoConfirmed
NYMChristian ScottConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 9 / Agrees with model

Model 60.4% vs market 58.3% on NYM — essentially convergent, so no comparison to press. Perdomo has just 4.0 IP on record, so his 2.25 ERA carries...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+178
SEASeattle Mariners-212
Pick Probability60%SEA moneyline
OAKGage JumpConfirmed
SEABryan WooConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
SEA / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Market implies 64% on SEA vs model 60.4%, so no disagreement on side. Woo's 1.09 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 over 148 IP outclasses Jump's 1.49 WHIP and 5.15...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees+100
SDPSan Diego Padres-116
Pick Probability57%NYY moneyline
NYYGerrit ColeConfirmed
SDPMichael KingConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
NYY / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Yankees are the better team on both sides: 81-61 with 4.8 RPG and .692 OPS versus San Diego's 3.2 RPG and .547 OPS. Market is near pick'em (+102/-1...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-110
TEXTexas Rangers-106
Pick Probability57%TBR moneyline
TBRIan SeymourConfirmed
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.7
Margin Context0.8
Model pick
TBR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-139
MIAMiami Marlins+120
Pick Probability55%CHC moneyline
CHCClay HolmesConfirmed
MIATyler PhillipsConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
CHC / standard confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model (55% CHC) and market (-140, ~57%) agree on direction, so no comparison to fight. Holmes at 2.09 ERA/1.07 WHIP over 81.7 IP is the better of t...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-110
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-110
Pick Probability51%ATL moneyline
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
PHIAaron NolaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total7.7
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-145
CINCincinnati Reds+121
Pick Probability50%MIL moneyline
MILKyle HarrisonConfirmed
CINBrady SingerConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-132
BALBaltimore Orioles+110
Pick Probability50%BOS moneyline
BOSPayton TolleConfirmed
BALKyle BradishConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-102
HOUHouston Astros-115
Pick Probability50%ARI moneyline
ARIEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
HOUPeter LambertConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.2
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals-134
COLColorado Rockies+116
Pick Probability50%STL moneyline
STLKyle LeahyConfirmed
COLTanner GordonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total11.0
Projected Total11.3
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
STL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-121
KCRKansas City Royals+102
Pick Probability50%KCR moneyline
TORSpencer ArrighettiConfirmed
KCRRandy DobnakConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
TOR / standard confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model lands on KCR at 50.2% versus market 47.8%, but that pick fights both the record (72-71 vs 63-80) and the offense gap (TOR 5.5 RPG, .786 OPS v...

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