MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-07 / 11 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-07
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+156
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-188
Pick Probability61%PHI moneyline
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
PHIJesús LuzardoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total7.8
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (61.1%) and market (60.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so there is no pricing comparison to exploit. The pick rests on Luzardo's 3.02 ERA and 1...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+110
SFGSan Francisco Giants-130
Pick Probability58%STL moneyline
STLMichael McGreevyProbable
SFGLogan WebbProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has SFG -126 (~54.7%) while model gives STL 58.1% — a ~13-point gap I won't follow. Webb (4.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) at Oracle Park (PF 0.906) is...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-216
OAKOakland Athletics+180
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
TORDylan CeaseProbable
OAKJacob LopezProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+115
BALBaltimore Orioles-136
Pick Probability57%BAL moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
BALTrevor RogersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model at 57.2% on BAL is only modestly ahead of the market's 53.9%, and the mismatch flag is real: Baltimore has the worse record and fewer runs pe...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+165
SDPSan Diego Padres-200
Pick Probability57%SDP moneyline
WSNJake IrvinConfirmed
SDPNick PivettaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-07
Rank#1
STL at SFGSt. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants
AI Analyst PickSFGstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelSTL / 58%Model pick probability

Market has SFG -126 (~54.7%) while model gives STL 58.1% — a ~13-point gap I won't follow. Webb (4.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) at Oracle Park (PF 0.906) is the better side; McG...

Rank#2
CHC at MILChicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
AI Analyst PickMILstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCHC / 52%Model pick probability

Model leans CHC at 51.6% while the market implies 53.5% home; I side with Milwaukee on the better record (88-56 vs 81-63) and home field. The team offense inputs look...

Rank#3
CLE at BALCleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles
AI Analyst PickBALlean confidence
Agrees with modelBAL / 57%Model pick probability

Model at 57.2% on BAL is only modestly ahead of the market's 53.9%, and the mismatch flag is real: Baltimore has the worse record and fewer runs per game (3.2 vs 3.7),...

Rank#4
ATL at PHIAtlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
AI Analyst PickPHIlean confidence
Agrees with modelPHI / 61%Model pick probability

Model (61.1%) and market (60.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so there is no pricing comparison to exploit. The pick rests on Luzardo's 3.02 ERA and 11.09 K/9 over Holmes...

Rank#5
LAA at BOSLos Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
AI Analyst PickBOSlean confidence
Agrees with modelBOS / 52%Model pick probability

Model 61.1% and market 61.4% agree on BOS, so no comparison either way. Boston's starter is TBD with fallback stats (3.15 ERA, 10.45 K/9) that may not reflect the actu...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

11 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves+156
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-188
Pick Probability61%PHI moneyline
ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed
PHIJesús LuzardoConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total7.8
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
PHI / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model (61.1%) and market (60.2%) essentially agree on PHI, so there is no pricing comparison to exploit. The pick rests on Luzardo's 3.02 ERA and 1...

MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+110
SFGSan Francisco Giants-130
Pick Probability58%STL moneyline
STLMichael McGreevyProbable
SFGLogan WebbProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SFG / standard confidence / Rank 1 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has SFG -126 (~54.7%) while model gives STL 58.1% — a ~13-point gap I won't follow. Webb (4.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) at Oracle Park (PF 0.906) is...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays-216
OAKOakland Athletics+180
Pick Probability58%TOR moneyline
TORDylan CeaseProbable
OAKJacob LopezProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total7.9
Margin Context1.1
Model pick
TOR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+115
BALBaltimore Orioles-136
Pick Probability57%BAL moneyline
CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed
BALTrevor RogersConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.2
Margin Context0.6
AI Analyst
BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model at 57.2% on BAL is only modestly ahead of the market's 53.9%, and the mismatch flag is real: Baltimore has the worse record and fewer runs pe...

MLBMoneyline
Open
WSNWashington Nationals+165
SDPSan Diego Padres-200
Pick Probability57%SDP moneyline
WSNJake IrvinConfirmed
SDPNick PivettaConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-105
KCRKansas City Royals-113
Pick Probability56%KCR moneyline
ARIDerek LawConfirmed
KCRNoah CameronConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+150
LADLos Angeles Dodgers-179
Pick Probability56%LAD moneyline
CINChase BurnsProbable
LADEmmet SheehanProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets+115
MIAMiami Marlins-137
Pick Probability54%MIA moneyline
NYMJonah TongConfirmed
MIAEury PérezConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.6
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
LAALos Angeles Angels+150
BOSBoston Red Sox-180
Pick Probability52%BOS moneyline
LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
BOSBrayan BelloConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.0
AI Analyst
BOS / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Agrees with model

Model 61.1% and market 61.4% agree on BOS, so no comparison either way. Boston's starter is TBD with fallback stats (3.15 ERA, 10.45 K/9) that may...

MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins+103
DETDetroit Tigers-120
Pick Probability52%MIN moneyline
MINJoe RyanConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+105
MILMilwaukee Brewers-124
Pick Probability52%CHC moneyline
CHCMatthew BoydConfirmed
MILRobert GasserConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
MIL / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model leans CHC at 51.6% while the market implies 53.5% home; I side with Milwaukee on the better record (88-56 vs 81-63) and home field. The team...

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