Ranked picks with source labels.

Model has LAD at 64% but market implies 78%. That 14-point gap flags structural risk. Pitcher stats are null for both Ohtani and Sugano despite 10...

Market has CLE at 62.9%, model at 60.2%. Both pitchers have tiny samples (5.0 IP each) with poor ERAs (5.4 and 7.2). WSN offensive comparison is re...

Model has OAK at 58% but market implies SEA 54%. The 12-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither pitcher profile is compelling—Spri...

Model and market align on TEX ~58-59%. deGrom returning from injury (10 starts, missing rate stats) is structural comparison vs Burrows' 7.94 ERA i...