Model has TEX at 63% vs. market 56%, but Eovaldi's 9.64 ERA in just 4.2 IP this season is unusable signal—likely injured or returning. Arrighetti h...

MLBMoneylineMay 28, 12:10 PM MDT

Open

MINMinnesota Twins+144

CHWChicago White Sox-175

Pick Probability58%CHW moneyline

MINSimeon Woods Richardson

CHW / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model has CHW at 60.2%, market at 57.6% — mild agreement. Rojas has only 1 start this season, making away pitching unreliable. CHW offense (5.4 RPG...

MLBMoneylineMay 28, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

CHCChicago Cubs+145

PITPittsburgh Pirates-172

Pick Probability56%CHC moneyline

CHC / pass confidence / Rank 6

Skenes shows 0.2 IP with 67.50 ERA—clearly incomplete data despite 'full' tag. Rea has null for all season stats. Without reliable pitcher metrics,...

MLBMoneylineMay 28, 4:35 PM MDT

Open

TORToronto Blue Jays+109

BALBaltimore Orioles-129

Pick Probability55%TOR moneyline

BAL / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model picks TOR at 55.2% but market has BAL at 54.1% - disagreement flag fires. BAL's 5.6 RPG vs TOR's 3.8 RPG suggests offensive mismatch favors h...

MLBMoneylineMay 28, 2:10 PM MDT

Open

ATLAtlanta Braves-133

BOSBoston Red Sox+114

Pick Probability53%ATL moneyline

ATL / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model has ATL at 53% vs market 57%; slight comparison to BOS. Sale's 0.00 ERA in 6.0 IP is a small-sample mirage but he's pitching well. Tolle's mi...

MLBMoneylineMay 28, 11:10 AM MDT

Open

LAALos Angeles Angels+112

DETDetroit Tigers-134

Pick Probability52%LAA moneyline

DET / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes LAA at 52.2% but market strongly favors DET at 55%. Rodriguez has no season stats (null ERA/IP/K9), making away starter evaluation impo...