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Top Spotlight / MLB / Moneyline

CIN at CHC

CHC moneyline leads the current board at 60%. Market odds are shown as context beside the model number.

CINCincinnati Reds40%
CHCChicago Cubs60%
Open matchupView top picks
Spotlight game / By the numbers
Pick probability60%
Market odds-200
Game time
VenueWrigley Field · Chicago, IL
CIN starterRhett Lowder
CHC starterShota Imanaga
Top pick of 11 on 2026-05-07Open matchup
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MLB real data.Moneyline is live with pitcher, projection, and market context.

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-05-07
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+165
CHCChicago Cubs-200
Pick Probability60%CHC moneyline
CINRhett Lowder
CHCShota Imanaga
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
CIN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market favors CHC at 64% vs model's 60%, a 4pp comparison. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 50 IP is concerning despite 12.6 K/9. CIN's offense (3.8 RPG, .629...

Updated Edge and EV held
#2MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-105
WSNWashington Nationals-114
Pick Probability58%WSN moneyline
MINSimeon Woods Richardson
WSNJake Irvin
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#3MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+121
KCRKansas City Royals-144
Pick Probability58%KCR moneyline
CLESlade Cecconi
KCRSeth Lugo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#4MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-104
BOSBoston Red Sox-115
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
TBRGriffin Jax
BOSJake Bennett
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
#5MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+142
SDPSan Diego Padres-170
Pick Probability58%SDP moneyline
STLMatthew Liberatore
SDPMichael King
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held

MLB Board

Real MLB moneyline predictions with market context

MarketAll marketsMoneyline
ProbabilityGame time
10 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
CINCincinnati Reds+165
CHCChicago Cubs-200
Pick Probability60%CHC moneyline
CINRhett Lowder
CHCShota Imanaga
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
CIN / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market favors CHC at 64% vs model's 60%, a 4pp comparison. Imanaga's 7.20 ERA in 50 IP is concerning despite 12.6 K/9. CIN's offense (3.8 RPG, .629...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
MINMinnesota Twins-105
WSNWashington Nationals-114
Pick Probability58%WSN moneyline
MINSimeon Woods Richardson
WSNJake Irvin
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.8
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
WSN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+121
KCRKansas City Royals-144
Pick Probability58%KCR moneyline
CLESlade Cecconi
KCRSeth Lugo
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
KCR moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
TBRTampa Bay Rays-104
BOSBoston Red Sox-115
Pick Probability58%BOS moneyline
TBRGriffin Jax
BOSJake Bennett
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total8.9
Margin Context0.3
Model pick
BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+142
SDPSan Diego Padres-170
Pick Probability58%SDP moneyline
STLMatthew Liberatore
SDPMichael King
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
NYMNew York Mets-152
COLColorado Rockies+128
Pick Probability55%NYM moneyline
NYMChristian Scott
COLJose Quintana
Market OddsPregame
Market Total11.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
NYM / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model predicts 9.44 runs at Coors (PF 1.47), market set at 11.0. The 1.56-run gap flags structural underweight of park factor. Scott's missing seas...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
PITPittsburgh Pirates-110
ARIArizona Diamondbacks-110
Pick Probability55%PIT moneyline
PITMitch Keller
ARIZac Gallen
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.5
Model pick
PIT moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+110
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-132
Pick Probability54%PHI moneyline
OAKJ.T. Ginn
PHIAndrew Painter
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
PHI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+125
NYYNew York Yankees-150
Pick Probability53%TEX moneyline
TEXMacKenzie Gore
NYYPaul Blackburn
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model favors TEX at 53% but market has NYY at 58%. NYY offensive comparison is real (5.8 vs 2.9 RPG), but model sees negative home_statcast_offense...

Updated Edge and EV held
MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+104
MIAMiami Marlins-125
Pick Probability51%MIA moneyline
BALCade Povich
MIAMax Meyer
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
MIA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

Updated Edge and EV held
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