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MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
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Model at 60.7% converges with market-implied 60.8% on CHW. Burke (3.56 ERA) vs Lopez (7.04 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) is a clear mismatch favoring CHW. Model...
Market has LAD at 69.5% implied, model at 60.7% — 8.8 pp gap flags large disagreement. Ohtani (1.79 ERA, 9.98 K/9 over 85.7 IP) and Rodriguez (2.25...
Model favors SEA 57% but market has TBR -119 (53% implied). Away pitcher is fallback data (Castillo stats unavailable), making model's SEA lean str...
Model has WSN 56% vs market 41% — a 15-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Palmquist's 7.11 ERA in 6.3 IP (9 starts) suggests he's not startin...
Model has TEX 56% vs market 44% — a 12-point gap flags structural disagreement. Both starters sub-3.40 ERA qualify as ace matchup, yet model predic...
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Ranked MLB analyst slate
Model has WSN 56% vs market 41% — a 15-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Palmquist's 7.11 ERA in 6.3 IP (9 starts) suggests he's not starting full games; Weathe...
Model gives STL 52.7% vs market's 39.7%, a 13-point gap favoring the home dog. Sale's 2.27 ERA and 10.61 K/9 over 95 IP is elite; Leahy's 3.86 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 86...
Market has BAL at 58.5% vs model's 50.0% — an 8.5 point gap. Young's 3.38 ERA over 77.1 IP is real; Avila's 5.05 ERA and 1.59 WHIP suggests vulnerability. Camden Yards...
Market has LAD at 69.5% implied, model at 60.7% — 8.8 pp gap flags large disagreement. Ohtani (1.79 ERA, 9.98 K/9 over 85.7 IP) and Rodriguez (2.25 ERA over 108 IP) fo...
Model at 60.7% converges with market-implied 60.8% on CHW. Burke (3.56 ERA) vs Lopez (7.04 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) is a clear mismatch favoring CHW. Model total 9.54 sits 0.5...
Model has MIA 52.7%, market 52.6%—dead heat. Total divergence is the story: model 9.08 vs market 7.0. MIA offense is real (7.5 RPG, .774 OPS) but Messick's 2.8 ERA in...
Model projects 9.18 runs vs market 7.5 — a 1.68 run gap. Gray's 2.61 ERA and McLean's 3.73 in pitcher-neutral Citi Field (PF 1.03) don't support 9+ runs. Model is over...
Model favors SEA 57% but market has TBR -119 (53% implied). Away pitcher is fallback data (Castillo stats unavailable), making model's SEA lean structurally suspect. M...
Greene's 21.6 ERA across 3.3 IP (10 starts listed but minimal innings) is incomplete data masquerading as disaster—model likely filling from team averages. CHC's 6.2 R...
Model likes LAA at 51.9% vs market MIN -127 (54.8%). I side with market: Rodriguez's 8.06 ERA in 25.7 IP is genuine trouble, while Matthews' 4.43/1.16 is competent. LA...
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model at 60.7% converges with market-implied 60.8% on CHW. Burke (3.56 ERA) vs Lopez (7.04 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) is a clear mismatch favoring CHW. Model...
Market has LAD at 69.5% implied, model at 60.7% — 8.8 pp gap flags large disagreement. Ohtani (1.79 ERA, 9.98 K/9 over 85.7 IP) and Rodriguez (2.25...
Model favors SEA 57% but market has TBR -119 (53% implied). Away pitcher is fallback data (Castillo stats unavailable), making model's SEA lean str...
Model has WSN 56% vs market 41% — a 15-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Palmquist's 7.11 ERA in 6.3 IP (9 starts) suggests he's not startin...
Model has TEX 56% vs market 44% — a 12-point gap flags structural disagreement. Both starters sub-3.40 ERA qualify as ace matchup, yet model predic...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model has MIA 52.7%, market 52.6%—dead heat. Total divergence is the story: model 9.08 vs market 7.0. MIA offense is real (7.5 RPG, .774 OPS) but M...
Greene's 21.6 ERA across 3.3 IP (10 starts listed but minimal innings) is incomplete data masquerading as disaster—model likely filling from team a...
Model gives STL 52.7% vs market's 39.7%, a 13-point gap favoring the home dog. Sale's 2.27 ERA and 10.61 K/9 over 95 IP is elite; Leahy's 3.86 ERA...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model likes LAA at 51.9% vs market MIN -127 (54.8%). I side with market: Rodriguez's 8.06 ERA in 25.7 IP is genuine trouble, while Matthews' 4.43/1...
Market has BAL at 58.5% vs model's 50.0% — an 8.5 point gap. Young's 3.38 ERA over 77.1 IP is real; Avila's 5.05 ERA and 1.59 WHIP suggests vulnera...
Model projects 9.18 runs vs market 7.5 — a 1.68 run gap. Gray's 2.61 ERA and McLean's 3.73 in pitcher-neutral Citi Field (PF 1.03) don't support 9+...