Ranked picks with source labels.

Model at 60.7% converges with market-implied 60.8% on CHW. Burke (3.56 ERA) vs Lopez (7.04 ERA, 1.84 WHIP) is a clear mismatch favoring CHW. Model...

Market has LAD at 69.5% implied, model at 60.7% — 8.8 pp gap flags large disagreement. Ohtani (1.79 ERA, 9.98 K/9 over 85.7 IP) and Rodriguez (2.25...

Model favors SEA 57% but market has TBR -119 (53% implied). Away pitcher is fallback data (Castillo stats unavailable), making model's SEA lean str...

Model has WSN 56% vs market 41% — a 15-point gap flagged as large disagreement. Palmquist's 7.11 ERA in 6.3 IP (9 starts) suggests he's not startin...

Model has TEX 56% vs market 44% — a 12-point gap flags structural disagreement. Both starters sub-3.40 ERA qualify as ace matchup, yet model predic...